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eugyppius1's profile
eugyppius
eugyppius
eugyppius
@eugyppius1

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eugyppius

@eugyppius1

Deutscher Nationalist. “Covid denying conspiracy platform”

Deutschland
eugyppius.substack.com
Joined October 2019

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    1. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Apr 15

      eugyppius Retweeted David Weissflog

      Why lockdowns do not work in one tweet: Rapid antigen test numbers from a district with 124k residents. In 8k tests (6,45% of the population) since before Easter week, 21 were antigen positive, of which 7 were PCR confirmed asymptomatic/ presymptomatic positive for SarsCov2.https://twitter.com/infect_prevent/status/1382786193071468546 …

      eugyppius added,

      David Weissflog @infect_prevent
      Erste Auswertung der Bürgertests im LK: ➡️ 8000 Tests ➡️ 21 Ag-POC-Test positiv ➡️ 7 in PCR bestätigt (1/3 der positiven Ag-POC-Tests) ➡️ 0,0875% der Getesteten waren SARS-CoV-2 positiv
      Show this thread
      1 reply 2 retweets 13 likes
      Show this thread
      eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Apr 15

      So let‘s just assume the asymptomatic/ presymptomatic positive rate is 7/8000 - 0,09% of the population. Remember that the reproduction number is unevenly distributed, which means *most positives infect nobody* and most of the spreading is done by a few outliers.

      10:48 PM - 15 Apr 2021
      • 9 Likes
      • Dr. Grizzo (PhD, MD, BA, MBA, 6'11 250 IQ) Lis krö7enkœnig O tempora o mores Karen Venter Velo toorops Shadow of Hal
      2 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
        1. New conversation
        1. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Apr 15

          So you lock down an entire district of 124k people, because maybe 100 of them are pre- or asymptomatic positive. Even without a lockdown, most of these people wouldn‘t have infected anybody; and the chances the outlier superspreaders break through your general lockdown ...

          1 reply 0 retweets 10 likes
          Show this thread
        2. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Apr 15

          ... which targets almost entirely people who are not even infected or who are but will infect nobody, are quite high. This cannot be emphasised enough: Lockdowns target average people and average behaviours. The pandemic is driven by outlier people with outlier behaviours.

          1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
          Show this thread
          3. End of conversation
        1. Shadow of Hal‏ @SandpiperFax Apr 15
          Replying to @eugyppius1

          yep, spread is a stochastic event driven by a minority of people who are symptomatic yet choose to attend many events, and those people are the super spreaders not a huge sample but zero clusters here had an asymptomatic index case. All were symptomatic.

          0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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