1. Corona season is almost over. Blue bars: Severe respiratory infections at German sentinel clinics over past year (from week 12 2020 to week 11 2021). Grey line: % of SARI cases that are Coronapic.twitter.com/MfNRA5MFqL
Deutscher Nationalist. “Covid denying conspiracy platform”
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1. Corona season is almost over. Blue bars: Severe respiratory infections at German sentinel clinics over past year (from week 12 2020 to week 11 2021). Grey line: % of SARI cases that are Coronapic.twitter.com/MfNRA5MFqL
2. Zooming in, we see that Corona's *share of infections* declined precipitously after week 14 2020. In week 14 2020 (30 March to 5 April), almost 1 in 3 SARI cases were Corona. By week 20 (17-23 May), only 5% were.pic.twitter.com/zWdDSuKds0
3. We are in week 12, near last year's peak for respiratory infections. Corona is a far higher portion of severe cases – 50% – mainly because influenza has disappeared. The overall number of SARI cases is lower. After Easter, Corona cases will steadily declinepic.twitter.com/1sqFcUkVbD
4. These are long-standing seasonal patterns, identical to those observed for influenza Anyone trying to sell you a model that shows cases peaking in May or June because vArIAnTz is selling you warmed-over propaganda from last year, when they said the same thing
5. Note that normal human Coronaviruses (hCov = dark orange-red), the kinds that cause colds, are also peaking right now.pic.twitter.com/eFkciux5cb
By excess mortality, the season is over in Europe. Except maybe Israel and Italy.pic.twitter.com/9TEeGQS1iN
We will possibly get another bump in deaths from the current late-season wave in the coming weeks, but possibly not. At least in Germany hospitalisations are rising quite slowly now, infections concentrated among younger people.
Are these activist doctors, trying to force containment measures by sending more patients to the ICU and thus creating the appearance of more severe cases? Something similar seems to have happened in Sweden, where Corona deaths are like 135% of excess mortality
In Germany only about half of them are ventilated. One suspects a significant portion caught Corona in hospital and were admitted for other reasons.
Also, when the fall wave was taking off, the CEO of Helios clinics said a lot of the ICU cases could just as easily be treated in ordinary wards.
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