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From Welt: The Easter shutdown was based on „models“ from „experts“ showing this would „interrupt and delay“ the spread of „mutants“ Pandemic models are the root of all evil. They are always wrong. They have caused politicians to do incredibly stupid things for a whole year now https://twitter.com/eugyppius1/status/1374718863020015617 …pic.twitter.com/Y3M8vqK91A
Politicians enamoured of models spend all of their time reacting to fake hypothetical future scenarios rather than to concrete present events When models fail — which is all the time — the excuse is always that containment has prevented whatever doom scenario the model predicted
Models have thus become unassailable unfalsifiable shibboleths that can also be made-to-order to justify any policy whatsoever Want to win at Corona management? Impose reasonable policies in response to things that are actually happening and fire all your modellers
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