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eugyppius1's profile
eugyppius
eugyppius
eugyppius
@eugyppius1

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eugyppius

@eugyppius1

Deutscher Nationalist. “Covid denying conspiracy platform”

Deutschland
eugyppius.substack.com
Joined October 2019

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    1. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

      9. (All of the preceding from the text of the secret internal-use-only modelling study itself, which is pp. 1-17 in the doc dump.)

      1 reply 16 retweets 82 likes
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    2. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

      10. April 16 2020: Kerber (interior ministry agent) asks the modellers if he can disclose their names to media & politicians The model authors all reply yes. Names redacted, but an email sig shows one of these modellers is at Uni Nottingham China & lists his recent publications.pic.twitter.com/OWC5I2exW3

      1 reply 29 retweets 95 likes
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    3. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

      (11. OK now i really am going running. Above from pp. 81-82, 84.)

      1 reply 11 retweets 63 likes
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    4. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

      12. Now we jump back to late-ish March 2020, and the emails of the modellers and Interior Ministry bureaucrats, as they build the panic study. Somebody pulls estimates out of their ass for how measures will impact R. School closures will reduce it to 1,6; lockdown, to 1,2 ...pic.twitter.com/ZNFdllk62T

      2 replies 38 retweets 90 likes
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    5. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

      13. ... mass testing will push it down to 0,8; and after 20 April, when Germany begins to reopen, it will go back up to 0,95. They expected cases to turn around on 6 April. Obviously they were totally wrong about all of this.

      1 reply 23 retweets 95 likes
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    6. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

      14. As the "scientists" constructed their model they were informed by an Assistant Professor of International Studies in China, who passed them "secret" information apparently about the Chinese response. From p. 99:pic.twitter.com/EIYRAdzEml

      2 replies 45 retweets 101 likes
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    7. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

      15. Moar, from p. 100. The word "China" is redacted here, but it's obvious what they're talking about The documentation included "quantitative studies" and supplementary materials from "trustworthy NGOs." Some pieces were furnished in ready-made (German? English?) translations.pic.twitter.com/Myjk3nRayP

      1 reply 34 retweets 88 likes
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    8. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

      16. The informant passing on the modelling materials is the same professor from the University of Nottingham in China we encountered above.pic.twitter.com/b4vpQy4sQs

      2 replies 24 retweets 77 likes
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    9. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

      17. The "new publications" he lists in his email sig (screenshot upthread) are all by Maximilian Mayer & include China-boosting pieces like this one, which asks "whether the Chinese approach ... contributes to a peaceful reconstruction of global order"https://academic.oup.com/ia/article-abstract/94/6/1217/5162435?redirectedFrom=fulltext …

      1 reply 38 retweets 89 likes
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    10. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

      18. All this pro-lockdown data straight from mainland China and these mysterious "trustworthy NGOs" was forwarded within an hour to the head of the RKI (German CDC) an RKI statistician named Matthias an der Heiden. p. 99:pic.twitter.com/T6bAuxwrYb

      2 replies 47 retweets 106 likes
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      eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

      19. The China informant had "argued very consistently for a Containment strategy, by analogy with the strategy in [China]" and supplied him with these relevant documents. "I think we should look these over and check that the RKI strategy agrees with them."pic.twitter.com/lxIiClPM4s

      6:32 AM - 14 Mar 2021
      • 21 Retweets
      • 76 Likes
      • Martin Red Hatty Steve G Winterland Lady ❄️⚔️✨ cbrodin Maria Sederholm (on Gab too) Leo Biddle W | L L | A |V| Lukas Lamont
      2 replies 21 retweets 76 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

          20. "Particularly the test strategy, according to [redacted] is of enormous importance."

          1 reply 15 retweets 64 likes
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        3. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

          21. It occurs to someone that their crazy high IFR estimates are baseless. A modeller shrugs & says, we need to make the arguments that will achieve our goals and pressure people to action. He mentions the "precautionary principle". "Better worse than too good."pic.twitter.com/Twy4Gsx486

          1 reply 39 retweets 91 likes
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        4. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

          22. On p. 107 they're talking about testing strategies again. Kerber, the bureaucrat who has arranged the whole study, wants to know if RKI-devised testing scheme "is similar to the practice in [redacted]" – presumably, China.pic.twitter.com/AcmMHrwKVa

          2 replies 22 retweets 69 likes
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        5. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

          23. Kerber hopes for a "communications strategy" that will build a sense of communal investment in the pandemic response in Germany. He wants to create an "Apollo-13" atmosphere, which I guess means something like determined optimism in the face of crisis.pic.twitter.com/PImjN0J9TY

          1 reply 25 retweets 72 likes
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        6. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

          24. The RKI modellers ask their informant in China, Maximilian Mayer (see upthread) about how contact tracing works in Asia Mayer responds: The RKI has already sent somebody to China, apparently to study and mimic their contact-tracing operation. They shld get in touch with him.pic.twitter.com/WuNogIlVD6

          1 reply 20 retweets 65 likes
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        7. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

          25. Just pausing to note that mass containment was not just inspired by Chinese example. It is a set of policies directly copied from China, by German observers and intermediaries in Chinese institutions, who supply the "modellers" all kinds of data and instructions. Wat mean.

          1 reply 44 retweets 127 likes
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        8. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

          26. And I mean, just ... how improbable is this Maximilian Mayer figure anyway. He's a junior prof at some Chinese Uni suddenly put in touch with the highest reaches of German public health bureaucracy. https://www.cassis.uni-bonn.de/de/ueber-cassis/prof.-maximilian-mayer …

          1 reply 23 retweets 85 likes
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        9. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

          27. "We suggest the motto 'Collectively Distanced'", Mayer writes. Who is this "we" and why is anybody talking to this nobody and how does he have access to "secret" Chinese pandemic data all ready-translated for RKI consumption and why does his name get redacted.pic.twitter.com/L8qoqLhqdc

          3 replies 27 retweets 97 likes
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        10. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

          28. On p. 186, one of these guys calls the Imperial College model the "gold standard of Covid-19 modelling". Their results should inform German model too.pic.twitter.com/hwKvnsyZKV

          2 replies 18 retweets 79 likes
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        11. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

          29. Quick timeline: 16 March: Imperial college model published. 19 March: The German Ministry of the Interior, through Kerber, convenes these idiots so Germany can have a model too.

          1 reply 15 retweets 78 likes
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        12. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

          30. Lmao that email in n. 28 above was also sent by Mayer, our China informant Germany, he says, needs to consider Asian countries w/ SARS experience, who have opted for containment, as an alternative to mitigation/herd-immunity, which was plan in western countries like Germanypic.twitter.com/N37ImYR9rB

          3 replies 16 retweets 71 likes
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        13. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

          31. We're back to 20 March and some of our "experts" are still joining the pseudoscience modelling panel and introducing themselves. This guy says his fundamental area of responsibility is the problem of [instilling] "fear and willingness to follow in the population"pic.twitter.com/o6Lu8w0GBO

          4 replies 40 retweets 101 likes
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        14. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

          32. That from p. 189. A final hilarious bit at the very end, in the mail from 19 March where Kerber announces the project to everyone "We don't know how long the networks will be reliably functioning," he says, and asks everyone to provide personal emails and telephone numbers.pic.twitter.com/nkNVthhaC3

          1 reply 13 retweets 41 likes
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        15. eugyppius‏ @eugyppius1 Mar 14

          33: Corona: It takes down your professional email but leaves the phones and personal email accounts intact. What a strange disease. That's it for now. Over half the pages are completely redacted. I've skipped a lot of the stuff about economic impact, may go through it later tho.

          9 replies 16 retweets 65 likes
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        16. End of conversation

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