People look at high valuations in early-stage venture and conclude there’s too much capital.
Another explanation for high valuations is we’re suffering a scarcity of (great) founders.
A thread on why we’re suffering from a founder scarcity and some ideas on how to solve it.
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#1 They'd prefer some barriers They think that "security" is inversely correlated w/ success. There is some truth to this (which is why we don't give big founder salaries) There is probably a Laffer-esque Curve for security & likelihood of success, but we're not close to it IMO
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They think founder diversification will mean less "all-in" from the founders This thread best demonstrates the sentiment https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg/status/1123331923466522624?s=20 … I'm sympathetic to it, but don't think we're close to the point on this Laffer Curve—we can allow some diversification w/o sacrifice
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#2 They don't buy that they're are great founders out there held back. If they need the support/encouragement to start, how will they scale? I'd equate it to Military: Many great soldiers "stumbled" into war & made it their mission once they got there, but they needed the push
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In terms of there incentives, wouldn't you think VCs want more founders? Maybe not. They’ll only invest in a handful of cos a year, and those cos will hire 1000s of ppl — they want great talent to join them. Their advice is often “join a break out series A or Series B company”
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#3 Founder Pooling has never worked. Why would it work now? Fair enough! I'd suggest it hasn't really been tried. Maybe it won't, but there are other ways to diversify. E.g. Angel/Scout investing hasn't seemed to hurt founders chances of success (cc
@villageglobal)Prikaži ovu nit -
In conclusion, IMO: - We're suffering from founder scarcity, partially evidenced by rising valuations - We should systematically remove bottlenecks to starting cos - We can incentivize more founders by making median founder outcome closer to avg & by removing economic friction
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We also should decrease cultural friction to starting companies: - celebrate starting cos as a thing for ambitious ppl to do globally - see startup failures on resumes as badges of honor instead of blemishes - create communities to find co-founders & founder support(
@beondeck)Prikaži ovu nit -
Would love to hear thoughts & feedback. h/t
@BurakYngn and@david__booth for conversations on the topic.Prikaži ovu nit
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Am juggling on this Let's see how the quarter ends
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