WHAT REALLY HAPPENED:http://53eig.ht/2h414Bp
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It's not complicated. She was hurt more in states with less early voting than states like AZ, FL, NV, & CO with a lot of early voting.
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I don't believe that's what the data show. But whatev. Let's pretend that MI and VA decide POTUS for same reasons but act differently.
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MI & VA act differently bc the demographics are very different.
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THANK YOU PRECISELY MY POINT. And why would VA respond differently to Comey letter?
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Huh? They respond differently bc, among other reasons, demographics. VA 20% black, MI 14%, they don't waste votes on third party silliness
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Yes, those demographics totally explain why VA responded differently to Comey letter than MI did.
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They do. Been written about quite a bit. That you think these are some crazy explanations is kinda weird.
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Have they? Oh WAIT I wrote about them. When everyone else was LALALALALALA. I'm happy to see pieces that specifically address that issue.
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MI/WI/PA, modest early voting, NH almost none.
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Wait, NC has early voting (some evil voter suppression, obv, but not whole story). IA has a ton. OH has. *No* scenario IA/OH in core 270.
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Arizona I defend her team on -- woulda preferred more! -- in case something broke hard across Midwest, a very different state worth a play.
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Yeah, I don't mind the AZ spending. I mind spending in CA but not in MI. Also mind that only ad was shitty ass ad devoid of policy.
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2012 Obama/Priorities ads were negative on Mitt as business person in policy adjacent way,unlike reminders of Trump as violative of morality
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