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emptywheel's profile
emptywheel
emptywheel
emptywheel
@emptywheel

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emptywheel

@emptywheel

Abundant tweets about civil liberties & national security. "Has a longer memory than an elephant & keeps more records than Jim Comey.” Legendary potty mouth.

Grand Rapids, MI
emptywheel.net
Joined August 2008

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    1. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 13 Sep 2017

      WHAT REALLY HAPPENED:http://53eig.ht/2h414Bp 

      50 replies 232 retweets 550 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 13 Sep 2017

      Not visiting Wisconsin was dumb, but about the *least* important factor in Clinton's defeat. I also don't buy that Bernie hurt her much.pic.twitter.com/QGDdM6Hkrt

      100 replies 311 retweets 1,115 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Jeff Hauser‏Verified account @jeffhauser 14 Sep 2017
      Replying to @NateSilver538

      The question is whether not visiting Wisconsin and underfunding Michigan reflected broken analytics that informed a host of decisions. (1/2)

      4 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. Dana Houle‏ @DanaHoule 14 Sep 2017
      Replying to @jeffhauser @NateSilver538

      ...without Comey she'd have won WI & MI comfortably, & maybe also her other targets she lost: PA/FL, but also NC, AZ, & maybe even GA.

      2 replies 2 retweets 15 likes
      emptywheel‏ @emptywheel 14 Sep 2017
      Replying to @DanaHoule @jeffhauser @NateSilver538

      Again, someone needs to analyze how and why late deciding states performed differently.

      8:57 AM - 14 Sep 2017
      • 4 Likes
      • Sandearl persists Ray Radlein Topcat108 Teresa Hutson
      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Dana Houle‏ @DanaHoule 14 Sep 2017
          Replying to @emptywheel @jeffhauser @NateSilver538

          It's not complicated. She was hurt more in states with less early voting than states like AZ, FL, NV, & CO with a lot of early voting.

          1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
        3. emptywheel‏ @emptywheel 14 Sep 2017
          Replying to @DanaHoule @jeffhauser @NateSilver538

          I don't believe that's what the data show. But whatev. Let's pretend that MI and VA decide POTUS for same reasons but act differently.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Dana Houle‏ @DanaHoule 14 Sep 2017
          Replying to @emptywheel @jeffhauser @NateSilver538

          MI & VA act differently bc the demographics are very different.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        5. emptywheel‏ @emptywheel 14 Sep 2017
          Replying to @DanaHoule @jeffhauser @NateSilver538

          THANK YOU PRECISELY MY POINT. And why would VA respond differently to Comey letter?

          3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        6. Dana Houle‏ @DanaHoule 14 Sep 2017
          Replying to @emptywheel @jeffhauser @NateSilver538

          Huh? They respond differently bc, among other reasons, demographics. VA 20% black, MI 14%, they don't waste votes on third party silliness

          1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes
        7. emptywheel‏ @emptywheel 14 Sep 2017
          Replying to @DanaHoule @jeffhauser @NateSilver538

          Yes, those demographics totally explain why VA responded differently to Comey letter than MI did.

          1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
        8. Dana Houle‏ @DanaHoule 14 Sep 2017
          Replying to @emptywheel @jeffhauser @NateSilver538

          They do. Been written about quite a bit. That you think these are some crazy explanations is kinda weird.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        9. emptywheel‏ @emptywheel 14 Sep 2017
          Replying to @DanaHoule @jeffhauser @NateSilver538

          Have they? Oh WAIT I wrote about them. When everyone else was LALALALALALA. I'm happy to see pieces that specifically address that issue.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        10. 16 more replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Dana Houle‏ @DanaHoule 14 Sep 2017
          Replying to @emptywheel @jeffhauser @NateSilver538

          MI/WI/PA, modest early voting, NH almost none.

          3 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
        3. Jeff Hauser‏Verified account @jeffhauser 14 Sep 2017
          Replying to @DanaHoule @emptywheel @NateSilver538

          Wait, NC has early voting (some evil voter suppression, obv, but not whole story). IA has a ton. OH has. *No* scenario IA/OH in core 270.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Jeff Hauser‏Verified account @jeffhauser 14 Sep 2017
          Replying to @jeffhauser @DanaHoule and

          Arizona I defend her team on -- woulda preferred more! -- in case something broke hard across Midwest, a very different state worth a play.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. emptywheel‏ @emptywheel 14 Sep 2017
          Replying to @jeffhauser @DanaHoule @NateSilver538

          Yeah, I don't mind the AZ spending. I mind spending in CA but not in MI. Also mind that only ad was shitty ass ad devoid of policy.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        6. Jeff Hauser‏Verified account @jeffhauser 14 Sep 2017
          Replying to @emptywheel @DanaHoule @NateSilver538

          2012 Obama/Priorities ads were negative on Mitt as business person in policy adjacent way,unlike reminders of Trump as violative of morality

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        7. End of conversation

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