Sorry, but no. Clinton dropped like 5-7 pts in internals in a single night. Even GOP pollsters privately say it was Comey
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Replying to @DanaHoule @arnaa
GOP pollsters say big drop coincided with Comey. But say drop started before that. Hillary's focus grouper says it was deplorables comment.
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Replying to @emptywheel @arnaa
There wasn’t a Clinton drop before that, it was Trump moving up a bit by picking up conservative/nativist undecideds
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Replying to @DanaHoule @arnaa
Yes. The Republicans Hillary spent a great deal of time and political capital pursuing coming home.
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Replying to @emptywheel @arnaa
no. The disaffecteds in northern MI & Saginaw & Monroe that he needed to offset D gains in Kent/Ottawa/Oakland
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Replying to @DanaHoule @arnaa
Oh. Well, that's one theory. I've definitely heard the other one far more (it correlates to the drop in Gary Johnson's numbers).
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I get that you think Clinton's campaign was hunky dory. I'm pretty sure you'd have advertised in WI and MI over CA, though.
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Clinton's campaign was far from perfect. But without the Comey letter, she wins. If she runs more ads in MI and WI she...still loses.
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I don't really care to argue it one way or another. Happy to blame Comey--and, therefore, Hillary's own email choices. Doesn't change Trump.
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Replying to @emptywheel @LemieuxLGM and
But this introduces a new argument, that it was HRC's email choices that forced Comey to write that letter. I'd take issue with that.
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I have ALWAYS said Comey was wrong for his July comments, which led to his October ones. Still do. But, this was a real investigation.
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Replying to @emptywheel @MikeMalonster and
Had Hillary not tried to dodge FRA, she'd ALSO be president now.
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Replying to @emptywheel @MikeMalonster and
She didn’t lose bc of the Comey letters, but it’s her fault Comey cost her the election. OK.
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End of conversation
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