Here's what the numbering/dates in the Trump dossier looks like. https://www.emptywheel.net/2017/01/13/the-released-dossier-is-not-the-complete-dossier/ … At least April through December.pic.twitter.com/j6VU2SucP4
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Which is where I get the April date: at least 80 days before June 20, so April 1 or so.
so really the start date is mid-January... which makes a lot more sense if it's GOP oppo research
Where do you get mid-Jan?
throw into excel and create this fun plot, and get some equation for your best fit. y-intercept is your start datepic.twitter.com/3rubFrFsyK
sorry x-intercept. I got -155 which if you subtract from Jun 20 gives you Jan 16
Does that assume same rate of reporting? Bc I'm not sure we should. It may be fair to say mid-Jan (same) to early April (1/day)
probably fairly safe. my fit looks reasonable... could probably account for error in some statistically significant way
but absolutely rate could be different before entry 80... looks linear after 80 though.
plot the dates vs the number and you can run a linear regression you can see that you get an update about every other day
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