So we don't have anything from at least the first 2 months of the project, and reporting went well past the election.
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Interesting detail. The June thing never made sense. Cruz and Kasich dropped out the first week of May.
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and likely started long before entry 80
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Which is where I get the April date: at least 80 days before June 20, so April 1 or so.
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so really the start date is mid-January... which makes a lot more sense if it's GOP oppo research
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Where do you get mid-Jan?
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throw into excel and create this fun plot, and get some equation for your best fit. y-intercept is your start datepic.twitter.com/3rubFrFsyK
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sorry x-intercept. I got -155 which if you subtract from Jun 20 gives you Jan 16
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Does that assume same rate of reporting? Bc I'm not sure we should. It may be fair to say mid-Jan (same) to early April (1/day)
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probably fairly safe. my fit looks reasonable... could probably account for error in some statistically significant way
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One of many very good questions.
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