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emptywheel's profile
emptywheel
emptywheel
emptywheel
@emptywheel

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emptywheel

@emptywheel

Abundant tweets about civil liberties & national security. "Has a longer memory than an elephant & keeps more records than Jim Comey.” Legendary potty mouth.

Grand Rapids, MI
emptywheel.net
Joined August 2008

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    1. David Liu‏ @lookoutcoffee 1 Jan 2017
      Replying to @lookoutcoffee

      consumer & demo & web use data to predict an unknown attribute? In this case, how good is big data at diagnosing 4/ @emptywheel @podehaye

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. David Liu‏ @lookoutcoffee 1 Jan 2017
      Replying to @lookoutcoffee

      people's personalities, such as 'need for cognition'? Is the R2 10%, 30%, 60% or higher? We all know anecdotes of /@emptywheel @podehaye

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. David Liu‏ @lookoutcoffee 1 Jan 2017
      Replying to @lookoutcoffee

      how Target can predict when a women is pregnant but we don't actually know the hit & miss rates (type 1 & 2 errors) / @emptywheel @podehaye

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. David Liu‏ @lookoutcoffee 1 Jan 2017
      Replying to @lookoutcoffee

      So we don't actually have good confirmations on predictive effectiveness of big consumer/demo/web data on any attrib/ @emptywheel @podehaye

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. David Liu‏ @lookoutcoffee 1 Jan 2017
      Replying to @lookoutcoffee

      frm being pregnant to being low on need for cognition. So it might sound effective & potentially intrusive/dangerus / @emptywheel @podehaye

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. David Liu‏ @lookoutcoffee 1 Jan 2017
      Replying to @lookoutcoffee

      But it could be a load of nothing many companies are selling to make a lot of money. The 2) step that's unknown / @emptywheel @podehaye

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. David Liu‏ @lookoutcoffee 1 Jan 2017
      Replying to @lookoutcoffee

      is how much targeted ads for diff personalities types actually activates voting behavior. This step has a little / @emptywheel @podehaye

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. David Liu‏ @lookoutcoffee 1 Jan 2017
      Replying to @lookoutcoffee

      research in terms of ads that increase voting v not voting but not so much on voting for one candidate over another / @emptywheel @podehaye

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. emptywheel‏ @emptywheel 1 Jan 2017
      Replying to @lookoutcoffee

      Any on staying home versus voting? Trump's people said they used it to get African Americans to stay home. @podehaye

      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. David Liu‏ @lookoutcoffee 1 Jan 2017
      Replying to @emptywheel

      oh I read you wrong. You want to know what to do to decrease voting (not increase) relative to do nothing baseline @podehaye

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      emptywheel‏ @emptywheel 1 Jan 2017
      Replying to @lookoutcoffee

      Just that it's one was Trump's team has acknowledged using it. @podehaye

      9:07 AM - 1 Jan 2017
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. emptywheel‏ @emptywheel 1 Jan 2017
          Replying to @emptywheel @lookoutcoffee

          I think the application was reminding certain African American voters of Hillary's child predator comments. @podehaye

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. David Liu‏ @lookoutcoffee 1 Jan 2017
          Replying to @emptywheel

          yeah I read about that. I don't know of studies but there must be some on effects of negative ads generally I'd think @podehaye

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. David Liu‏ @lookoutcoffee 1 Jan 2017
          Replying to @lookoutcoffee @emptywheel

          that is it seems pundits talk about how negative ads doesn't so much make you switch to vote for opponent but @podehaye

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. David Liu‏ @lookoutcoffee 1 Jan 2017
          Replying to @lookoutcoffee @emptywheel

          make you so down on person with your preferred policy your motivation to get out to vote goes down. But dunno if this @podehaye

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        6. David Liu‏ @lookoutcoffee 1 Jan 2017
          Replying to @lookoutcoffee @emptywheel

          has empirical research support from polisci @podehaye

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        7. End of conversation

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