Is there a theory of decision-making in which people change their minds BEFORE event that makes them change happens? @jackshafer
You must not have read my post on nate at all. It's not abt date there. It's abt differential impact between states. @jackshafer
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I'm struggling to discern your argument, honestly. Parsing state polls by factors that haven't been shown to move
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voting patterns- like security clearance- is extremely fraught. It sounds like story telling, honestly. Beyond that
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I don't see anything. Also, the idea that any trend is monocausal is a misconception. Entirely possible ACA news...
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made a small impact that moved polls followed by a much larger one from Comey. Their coincidence is meaningless
End of conversation
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