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emptywheel's profile
emptywheel
emptywheel
emptywheel
@emptywheel

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emptywheel

@emptywheel

Abundant tweets about civil liberties & national security. "Has a longer memory than an elephant & keeps more records than Jim Comey.” Legendary potty mouth.

Grand Rapids, MI
emptywheel.net
Joined August 2008

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    1. emptywheel‏ @emptywheel 11 Dec 2016
      Replying to @jackshafer

      Why does data showing a polling drop starting after 10/24 show the effect of a letter released 10/28?

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    2. majorajam‏ @majorajam 11 Dec 2016
      Replying to @emptywheel @jackshafer

      u're obviously not a Bayesian. There are few theories of decision making where a story that results in a week of...

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    3. majorajam‏ @majorajam 11 Dec 2016
      Replying to @majorajam @emptywheel @jackshafer

      wall to wall negative coverage that plays to an existing narrative a week before an election doesn't move the needle

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. emptywheel‏ @emptywheel 11 Dec 2016
      Replying to @majorajam

      That's not my point. My point is that the date of Comey letter is October 28. https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/3198222/Letter.pdf … @jackshafer

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    5. emptywheel‏ @emptywheel 11 Dec 2016
      Replying to @emptywheel @majorajam

      Is there a theory of decision-making in which people change their minds BEFORE event that makes them change happens? @jackshafer

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    6. majorajam‏ @majorajam 11 Dec 2016
      Replying to @emptywheel @jackshafer

      I understood your point, and I'm not suggesting we attribute pre-Comey polling 2 Comey. I'm suggesting u're bringing

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. majorajam‏ @majorajam 11 Dec 2016
      Replying to @majorajam @emptywheel @jackshafer

      the wrong frame to the question of what the evidence shows

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. emptywheel‏ @emptywheel 11 Dec 2016
      Replying to @majorajam

      You're saying polling numbers showing a move b4 Comey & plateau then climb after proves ... what? @jackshafer

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    9. majorajam‏ @majorajam 11 Dec 2016
      Replying to @emptywheel @jackshafer

      I'm saying the polling showed a significant move toward Trump post-Comey and that the move beforehand is irrelevant

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. emptywheel‏ @emptywheel 11 Dec 2016
      Replying to @majorajam

      But that's not what the graphic linked showed. Here's what it showed, w/Comey letter marked. @jackshaferpic.twitter.com/IOZnLhS2uz

      2 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
      emptywheel‏ @emptywheel 11 Dec 2016
      Replying to @emptywheel @majorajam

      Incidentally, the increase in ACA premiums was announced October 24. https://www.emptywheel.net/2016/11/13/role-obamacare-premium-hikes-trumps-win/ … @jackshafer

      2:58 PM - 11 Dec 2016
      • 1 Retweet
      • 2 Likes
      • Joe Williams Mary Ha
      0 replies 1 retweet 2 likes

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