Data supporting the Comey Effect: http://53eig.ht/2fvuQNl and http://bit.ly/2gAjsTt
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Thats not the only linked chart. Also, read the text, do you seriously think Wang is that is that incompetent?
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I don't think Wang is that incompetent. But he doesn't include date of letter & only assumes Comey big driver
@jackshafer -
Either the chart is wrong (skewed by 4 days), I'm misunderstanding it, or he has date of letter wrong.
@jackshafer -
And again: ACA announcement was 10/24. Which Trump voters cited in why they voted.
@jackshafer -
I tracked avg of polls taken in prev 10days for ~80 days before elxn. DJT staying on script always moved needle most.
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Really? I mean, that has been entirely unmentioned in post mortems but seems incredibly important.
@majorajam -
yup. And the 1st to notice this effect was UPI/CVoter pollster way back in August.
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I've commented abt how being on script may explain him bringing older Johnson voters home. Explains part of gap closure
@majorajam - 4 more replies
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Incidentally, the increase in ACA premiums was announced October 24. https://www.emptywheel.net/2016/11/13/role-obamacare-premium-hikes-trumps-win/ …
@jackshaferThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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