This describes the Comey impact as how it affected both candidates constant flow of defectors. Trump's came back, Hillary's didn't, at end.https://twitter.com/GideonResnick/status/804774146102231040 …
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Replying to @emptywheel
That still doesn't explain why Comey letters would have differential impact in Rust Belt. Unless there were just more "defectors" there.
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Replying to @emptywheel
I don't think there was a differential impact. Seems like every state lost 4 points that week.
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Replying to @szorowitz
There actually was in the way that late deciders decided. https://www.emptywheel.net/2016/11/11/blame-comey-movement/ …
12:19 PM - 2 Dec 2016
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