This describes the Comey impact as how it affected both candidates constant flow of defectors. Trump's came back, Hillary's didn't, at end.https://twitter.com/GideonResnick/status/804774146102231040 …
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Replying to @emptywheel
That still doesn't explain why Comey letters would have differential impact in Rust Belt. Unless there were just more "defectors" there.
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Replying to @emptywheel
The Rust Belt was also being hammered by Trump digital team's dark Facebook ads, designed to reinforce Clinton negatives.
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Replying to @stannenb
Do we have data on that? I really want to understand what Obama-to-Trump voters (or non-voters) were consuming, media-wise.
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Replying to @emptywheel @stannenb
It also feels like, given the demographics, there was some message on guns. Which WOULD be uniquely effective in rural Rust Belt.
12:13 PM - 2 Dec 2016
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