Even assuming that's true AZ happened after Comey. 6 more days went by w/o WI visit. @Rob_Flaherty
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Replying to @emptywheel @dennisyedwab
in the environment pre-comey, dems were running up the score. AZ trip was booked pre-letter. more than 140 here...
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1) dems didn't lose WI/MI/PA because of a trump surge. T had less voters than '12. won because of lower D turnout
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Replying to @Rob_Flaherty
This is not what the Trump camp (or polling) says. They said there was a surge.
@dennisyedwab1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @emptywheel
there were 297,000 less dem voters in Michigan in 16 than 12. there were about 163,000 more Trump voters. not a "surge" problem.
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Replying to @Rob_Flaherty
I'm sorry. The "Comey was responsible" comes from Trump's people. Not even clear Hillary saw it for days.
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Replying to @emptywheel @Rob_Flaherty
And according to people who won against all the odds, Trump started surging. If they're wrong Hillary should share real data
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Replying to @emptywheel
MI decided by, what, 15k votes? Sporadic dems saying "fuck it" and late breakers going to Trump is beyond enough for that margin
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Replying to @Rob_Flaherty
Sure. Except that Hillary's model (Trump's too, at first) said the people who voted would not vote. Gotta account for that.
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Replying to @emptywheel
think the model said the people who didn't vote would vote. keep in mind: RNC model said they'd lose too http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/rnc-model-showed-trump-losing-231074 …
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Not Trump's model. That one (the one that is the only one claiming to see Comey response in real time) said unplanned voters.
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