This worked great for Brexit.https://twitter.com/matthewjdowd/status/787650576758603776 …
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Replying to @emptywheel
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@emptywheel Our demographics are not that of the UK nor is this a vote on the Eurpean Union. All Brexit comparisons should end.2 replies 1 retweet 1 like -
Replying to @tinaissa
Agree ... EXCEPT that key factor in both votes in high support among younger voters. If they don't turn out here could be problem.
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Replying to @emptywheel
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@emptywheel Disagree, disenfranchising every major demographic but elderly white males as Trump has done destroys his chances to win.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @tinaissa
It makes it highly unlikely he'll win. That's not the same thing as impossible to win.
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Replying to @emptywheel
I would dare to say, w/o support of major minority groups and women it is impossible for him to win at this point.
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Replying to @tinaissa
I wouldn't. This election is unlike anyone in history, with two candidates w/very high negatives. That raises TO Qs. 1/2
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Replying to @emptywheel @tinaissa
I've been saying since Feb that demographically it would be nearly impossible for him to win. Also note early data favors Dems.
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Replying to @emptywheel @tinaissa
But simply bc this year is not like other years, I'm not comfortable saying it is certain and ALSO think doing so could depress TO
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Replying to @emptywheel
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@emptywheel We'll have to agree to disagree. :) Democratic early voting/Reg is up b/c of his hate rhetoric. Nice to chat with you though!1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
Yes, when I said "Also note early data favors Dems" that's what I mean. I get the demos. I also get high negatives.
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