what it really shows is how soft Trump's support is. One day supporters are sad pandas, next he yells and they good.
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Replying to @EricHeggie
Big number of Trump supporters are significantly anti-Hillary, not pro-Trump
@DemFromCT5 replies 0 retweets 3 likes -
Replying to @emptywheel @DemFromCT
Which helps explain his soft support. When you are only voting against someone the motivation to vote for a person
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Replying to @EricHeggie
Sort of. But that's true of a lot of (not as many) Dem voters. Where we have data (NC) they're very very committed.
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Replying to @emptywheel @EricHeggie
timing matters. can’t assume Sep data equal Nov attitude.
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Replying to @DemFromCT @emptywheel
Yeah but the numbers on if you are voting for your cand/against opponent are in Dems favor, and probably growing.
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Replying to @emptywheel @DemFromCT
The issue for the GOP is that people in Pres years vote FOR a Pres Cand. Motivation for that goes away real bad 4 GOP
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Replying to @EricHeggie
Yeah, but I wish we were able to separate that coordinated campaign or no from the vote-against dynamic this year
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Replying to @emptywheel @DemFromCT
Look at 10 and 14. Dems had exponentially better ground games, still didn't matted because no Obama on the ballot.
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Sure. But that's also consistent w/off-year. @DemFromCT
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Replying to @emptywheel @DemFromCT
which shows my point about why Pres year voters come out to vote. Strong/Weak coord not as determinative as ppl think
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