Reminder: Detroit counts slowly, and Hillary will clean up there.
@deflationista I'm saying the numbers we're seeing now don't account for big chunk of Dem voters who'll go big for Hillary.
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@emptywheel But if Clinton's only winning black voters by 30 points, no reason to assume she overtakes Bernie with huge margin in Detroit. -
@deflationista If she wins Wayne County by 12% (what exits show) and turnout is equivalent to rest of state, she likely wins it. -
@emptywheel@deflationista I don't know if 12% gets her there. I think 12% is good of turn out is really high -
@JYoung10000 It'll be close. Right now she has to be disappointed w/Oakland where I'd expect her to win 5-7% at least.@deflationista -
@emptywheel@deflationista this is crazy. The polling said she was going to win by17-22 percent. -
@JYoung10000 She won't do that unless Detroit had higher TO than in the 2008 general.@deflationista -
@emptywheel@JYoung10000 Apparently Wayne county turnout is much lower than expected. -
@deflationista@emptywheel she's surging. - 2 more replies
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