These 3 seats are kind GOP will hold if their POTUS candidate wins, probably will in 5 pt loss, may not in 7 pt loss http://www.eclectablog.com/2016/02/three-michigan-congressional-races-added-to-dcccs-red-to-blue-program.html …
@DanaHoule In a conventional year.
But in a conventional year he also doesn't get nomination & Hillary would be FAR stronger than she is
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@emptywheel Eh, Hillary is strong. Bernie couldn't beat her in Iowa, in a caucus. As for the year, few people understand how close it... -
@DanaHoule Hillary is so strong she's matching her vote totals from 2008 when she lost? There's an "other" category not voting.
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@emptywheel ...came in 2012 to Romney flopping. If Adelson had funded Newt before IA, or kept funding him after SC, it would have been chaos -
@DanaHoule And you're assuming Mitt was clearly strongest--he wasn't necessarily for reasons Hillary will have (weaker) weaknesses as well. -
@emptywheel Of course I assume Mitt was the strongest in 2012. He ran against Mitt, Huckleberry, Santorum, et al. Seems kinda obvious. -
@DanaHoule Were it not for Santorum's anti-women policies, which he adopted just in time for MI where they killed him, he'd have been better -
@emptywheel Except that part about nobody in the GOP thinking he had any chance for the nomination OR to win in November -
@DanaHoule Yes. Precisely the same people who didn't think Trump or Cruz has any chance this year. -
@emptywheel No. I never thought Santorum had a chance & said it at the time. I always thought Cruz & Trump were serious threats. I don’t… -
@DanaHoule But my saying Santorum was better is not to say he was good. Mitt was an obviously horrible candidate. - 2 more replies
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