If trading in CW permits Assad's regime to survive, haven't they essentially served their deterring purpose?
@YousefMunayyer Unclear. Bandar will continue w/his plan to overthrow Assad, but it will be more clearly aggression.
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@emptywheel assad has found ways to handle insurgency, US military strikes a different story -
@YousefMunayyer Agree. And Bandar will continue to try to force latter. He'll also keep threatening to empower worst jihadists, I suspect -
@emptywheel they wont give up on it, neither will iran.But Obama tied intervention to CW, hard to see him taking action if thats done with -
@YousefMunayyer Except they have confirmed their "covert" plan of regime change, McCain has gotten more public concessions. -
@emptywheel i think Assad's backers will increase assistance in turn, fueling the grind and growing the death toll -
@YousefMunayyer Yup. That's where this is headed. Doesn't mean Assad has won yet. -
@emptywheel i think he has lost. he can never regain what he had. its a question of negotiating how much he will lose. -
@YousefMunayyer But I suspect the mishandling of this actually puts Assad in stronger position.
End of conversation
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