The Manafort Cooperation Is Pardon Proof https://www.emptywheel.net/2018/09/14/the-manafort-plea-is-pardon-proof/ …
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But Jr is, like pops, badly underlawyered here, and terrible in interviews in a way that's different from the way Pops is terrible, I think stemming from Jr being way stupider. So it could happen before we're done.
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Back to Manafort: I think Manafort is in a position to uniquely implicate Trump bc 1) during a key period, he was in at least one and I suspect several meetings along w/Trump 2) he was one of the interlocutors with Russians, so is a pivot to Trump.
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That continued after the election, btw. Remember that the strategy to defend against the investigation by undermining the Steele dossier comes from Manafort. And Kilimnik was in the loop later than people think thru (Through March 2017, it appears).
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So in other words, to the extent that Trump was telling friends in January that Manafort and only Manafort could implicate him, I think that may have been one of his most honest comments about this investigation.
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That said (and this is speculative), I think Stone will implicate Trump in ways Trump hasn't thought through all the way, bc Trump was slightly more distantly removed from that agreement to conspire.
End of conversation
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