One interesting thing about the Upshot polling in TX-23 is the Trump number. Here's the drop off from Trump's 2016 margin to his approval rating (net minus net) across the districts so far. KY-06: -21 MN-03: -20 WV-03: -19 MN-08: -17 IL-06: -14 IL-12: -13 CA-48: -12 TX-23: +4
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Will Jordan Retweeted Will Jordan
This could be about - - The electorate being different - The poll being different - TX-23 being different - Some combination of the abovehttps://twitter.com/williamjordann/status/1039934233911980032 …
Will Jordan added,
Will JordanVerified account @williamjordannOne interesting thing about the Upshot polling in TX-23 is the Trump number. Here's the drop off from Trump's 2016 margin to his approval rating (net minus net) across the districts so far. KY-06: -21 MN-03: -20 WV-03: -19 MN-08: -17 IL-06: -14 IL-12: -13 CA-48: -12 TX-23: +4Show this thread2 replies 3 retweets 4 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @williamjordann
Or maybe Will Hurd is showing that some Republicans are actually more resilient/liked than Trump?
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Replying to @emptywheel
Nah but those numbers are all Trump - just Trump margin in 2016 vs approval in 2018. So, if right, electorate has moved towards Trump much more (or at all) than anywhere else polled.
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