It's not just about the transition from car to horses. Another example: the transition from wood to coal. The main point being: a technology doesn't have to be dominate to signal the death of another. In fact, it only takes a small % share to signal this.https://twitter.com/emahlee/status/1163351933089828865 …
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But couldn't China's militaristic goals help them with other goals (like energy dominance)? Both seem to be entangled. I didn't take Kingsmill's analysis to pass judgement one way or another: just to state that China is set to dominate because of BRI.
Oh, I didn't take away from Kingsmill that BRI is green. Not at all. Only that China would be able to leverage BRI for energy dominance when renewables take over more of the market share from fossil fuels. I understood BRI to be "strategic" not intrinsically "green."