"The reason why emerging markets are key to this transition is that it is from the emerging markets that we anticipate *all* energy demand growth over the next 25 years." 5/
"The key question is *when* will we see the peak. Investors need to realize that actually the peak for the old, fossil fuel system will come very, very early in the energy transition." 15/
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"You saw the same thing, for example, when we shifted from horses to cars after 1900. It tends to come when the new challenging technology is quite small – about 3-5% of total supply." 16/
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"In this specific instance, if solar and wind continue to grow at current rates along their S curves and global energy demand continues to grow 1-1.5% we will see this peak demand for fossil fuels in the 2020s." /end
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