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Terrifying. "While the scenario [looks at] ‘high end’ risk possibilities, it is often not possible to meaningfully quantify their probabilities. As a result, the authors emphasize conventional risk approaches tend to downplay worst-case scenarios despite their plausibility."https://twitter.com/yassaminansari/status/1135620800378155009 …
"Some 1B ppl would be forced to attempt to relocate from unlivable conditions, & 2B would face scarcity of water. Agriculture wld collapse in the sub-tropics, & food prod would suffer dramatically worldwide. The internal cohesion of nation-states like US & China would unravel."
"Even for 2°C of warming, more than a billion people may need to be relocated and in high-end scenarios, the scale of destruction is beyond our capacity to model with a high likelihood of human civilization coming to an end.”
"The paper argues that the potentially 'extremely serious outcomes' of climate-related security threats are often far more probable than conventionally assumed, but almost impossible to quantify because they 'fall outside the human experience of the last thousand years.'"
Report says we can still avoid this catastrophic scenarios by taking action “akin in scale to the World War II emergency mobilization” Btw, this report was written by a former fossil fuel executive (from Royal Dutch Shell), and backed by the former chief of Australia's military.
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