Idle thought: the decision training espoused by Superforecasting is better suited for investors; the decision training used by the Marines is better suited for operators.
Conversation
Why might I think this? Current suspicion: “you need a different kind of decision making training if you can take action to generate information.”
Superforecasters and investors often can’t take action when making a prediction/investing. Marines and operators can.
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Replying to
Interesting
I’m reading this with the causation and effectuation angle
Causal thinkers believe that “If I can predict the future, I can control it.”
Effectual thinkers believe that “If I can control the future, I do not need to predict it.”
Of cse never black & white
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