Stumbled on a stunningly good podcast from 2020 with . She is an author and 3x CEO.
The critical topic: making decisions under uncertainty. Her book is "Uncharted: How to map the future."
Some highlights. n/7
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Conversation
On the importance of scenario planning: "It's really about coming up with a number of different scenarios of the future and then interrogating each one and saying, 'Okay, if Scenario One were to come true, what would I wish I had been doing right now?' 1/7
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Experiments help us plan for the future, but they need to have no firm destination set in advance. Otherwise it's incrementalism- just changing the colour of an Oreo and calling it innovation. 2/7
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A good expermient example: Allowing nurses to use their own intuition on how long to spend with each patient cut the cost of home care nursing by ~30%. 3/7
[Experienced nurse intuition is also the #1 indicator of if a patient is going to code].
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Good career paths are often random: "I'm really struck by the number of people that I know or have interviewed who've had tremendous careers. And when you dig into, how did they do that? The answer is absolutely not, 'This is how I planned it.'" 4/7
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Why do artists anticipate the future so well? "They really paid attention to where they were and what people were thinking and what different things they saw change. And they were constantly mulling over this and thinking, 'What does it mean?" 5/7
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Aside- giggled at how lifehackers never change: she talks about how Irving Fisher thought the more you chewed the better your athletic prowess (Nestor's book Breath?). Babson used to believe in the power of working in cold weather (Wim Hof). 6/7
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"To the degree that you really live in the present--so, you really notice what's around you... you're really paying attention--you have better ingredients with which to craft these ongoing scenarios of the future. 7/7
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