Cedric Chin on Twitter: "“I talked to a person who was an expert in that thing, and they told me they did X and Y.” “Survivorship bias!” Ok.👌" / Twitter

I find survivorship bias arguments really weird sometimes. “I did such and such and then we succeeded. And then we did it again and succeeded.” “Blah blah survivorship bias.” Really?

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Ken Kocienda

@kocienda

May 25

I’ve had several people cite survivorship bias arguments at me over this tweet, and I suppose if you want to believe that the original iPhone was the result of luckily and perfectly dodging all the random bullets that could have shot us down, be my guest. twitter.com/kocienda/statu…

Cedric Chin

@ejames_c

“I talked to a person who was an expert in that thing, and they told me they did X and Y.” “Survivorship bias!” Ok.👌

2:52 PM · May 25, 2022Twitter Web App

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There’s a thin, grey line between “survivorship bias” and “smart thing I can say that repudiates a factoid that clashes with my existing beliefs” and I’m not sure where it lies.

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