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If the domain is simple enough, or well-understood enough then finding the necessary conditions for goal achievement may be all that is needed. But if the domain has as many variations as a heart attack, then first principles are not sufficient to diagnose the tricky situations.
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Expertise researchers, funded by the military, as part of a 30 yr attempt to accelerate expertise (which they care a huge amount about because … death): “We’ve tested and tested and we think you can’t reduce to first principles.” Some guy on Twitter: “Seems simple enough.”
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That doc is reasonable, even interesting, but you can't honestly believe sharing it in this context makes you MORE credible. What's your FIDE score? How many people have you trained to be expert chess players? What about things that aren't games of perfect information?
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