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Replying to
I could've written it down in a note. But when the idea is a seedling, sometimes you shouldn't crystallise it because you're not sure what you're noticing. You just want to sit with it, in your head, and notice how the shape of the idea itself changes as you investigate.
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Eventually two things — a meeting with two years ago where he argued against predicting the future, and a paper on Complexity investing (nzscapital.com/news/complexity), crystallised the shape of the idea in my head. It was like pulling the cloud down and firming it up.
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The organising principle was that all the similarity between these thinkers that I had been noticing (for about a year!) was that they were acting without prediction. They observed the nature of the complex system and reacted to it. This finally allowed me to write the piece.
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My point: good, deep synthesis is more like this than not. You sit with an amorphous cloud of an idea in your head, and wait until you can find an organising principle to give structure to the cloud. 'Connecting ideas' or 'connecting notes' misses the point.
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The limiting factor is getting better at 'sitting with the cloud', 'noticing interesting threads in your inputs', and 'developing taste for good organising principles'. You think better by learning to think better, not by making better notes as a substitute for thinking.
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Replying to
This is accurate. A lot of the rigour in my thinking comes from writing. But there is this duality between an idea needing to exist like an amorphous cloud, and an idea needing to go through some rigorous sharpening process that comes through writing. Both are important.
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Replying to and
And I guess the interesting question here is when do you make the switch? I’ve definitely gotten better at this over time, but I can’t tell you what cues I use to know when it’s time to take a cloud and firm it up. (And I do still sometimes get this wrong).
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