Conversation

What I would give for an naturalistic decision making researcher to do cognitive task analysis on Soros ...

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Mar 5, 2021

Soros claimed his strength was intuition not analysis. Very few managers would ever admit this especially in an industry where process and analysis are a source of pride.

4:01 AM · Mar 5, 2021Twitter Web App

Replying to

(In case you’re wondering why such examples interest me: it is commonly argued that expert intuition can’t exist in investing).

Cedric Chin

@ejames_c

Mar 5, 2021

Well, this explains a lot (click through for screenshots of the bio):

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Bill Stearn

@Dollar_Stearn

Mar 5, 2021

Replying to @ejames_c

If you read Soros' bio, his investment "intuition" came from privileged access to heads of states, Finance/Economy ministers, and heads of central banks in his heyday. Since the rules around govt/public officials meeting private individuals tightened, his returns have been meh.

Cedric Chin

@ejames_c

Mar 5, 2021

There’s that legendary story of how Soros knows how to exit trades because of back pain. Apparently if one meets with a lot of central bankers and prime ministers, one’s back pain can say a lot. 🙃 irishtimes.com/business/perso