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Half the people in this thread understand the capital allocator playbook. The other half do not. And Andrew is laughing all the way to the bank.
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What’s an easier path to wealth? PATH 1: VENTURE STARTUP - 95% chance of $0 - Tiny personal income while building startup until IPO/scale - Massive dilution (most founders end up owning 5-15%). $1BN market cap = $50-$150MM for founder. OR...
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The capital allocator playbook is simple to grok. Build a free cash flow generating business. Wait. Take the FCF and then use it to purchase another FCF-generating business. Wait. Use those cash flows to buy yet another FCF generating business. Wait. Rinse and repeat.
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In software, the two companies that are most famous for using this playbook are Robert Smith's Vista Equity Partners (uses a lot of debt) and Mark Leonard's Constellation Software (uses equity sales). Still, similar playbook: acquire defensible high FCF businesses. Use FCF.
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Smith is operationally excellent, though. He has a team in Vista that slashes costs and moves engineering to cheaper cities. He then uses the FCF from the business to service the debt load. It's a more typical PE playbook. Only diff is that it's software — so high, high margins.
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Leonard's trick is looking for 'vertical market' software companies. Think: power plant software. Who's going to throw out and switch their power plant software provider? Nobody. So it's got a moat. Same playbook, with variations: Constellation sold equity to fund purchases.
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One possible reason people in startupland don't get the capital allocator playbook is that it's not really an operator-oriented worldview. Nearly everyone I've mentioned in the thread above sets up their org so that other people run their companies. They themselves do not.
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So: Smith has an ops arm, Leonard, Wilkinson, Buffett and, urm, every CEO mentioned in The Outsiders delegated the operator function to someone else. They just ran capital allocation decisions.
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Two more, just for fun: Jeff Bezos runs Amazon with bits borrowed from the capital allocator playbook. (Why does he insist on absolute free cash flow?) Barry Diller runs IAC similarly, but divests successful, FCF-producing subsidiaries after they hit a certain scale.
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John Malone is one of the CEOs profiled in The Outsiders, and TCI's business model is the precursor business model to today's SaaS. It also happens to be a debt-based variant of the capital allocator playbook. As usual, Tren Griffin's got a great thread:
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1/ The microeconomics of a software as a service (SaaS) business evolved from cable and mobile. John Malone invented what is the most common business model for SaaS. "It’s not about earnings, it’s about wealth creation and levered cash-flow growth." 25iq.com/2014/11/02/a-d
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