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A few hours later, a friend asked if I thought Singaporeans were less exposed to uncertainty on average than others. I ... had not even given it any thought. But what an interesting question. Are there groups of people you know who are more buffered against uncertainty?

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Cedric Chin

@ejames_c

May 4, 2020

A primer before I start on my series on adapting quickly to uncertainty: commoncog.com/blog/what-unce

1:25 AM · May 5, 2020Twitter Web App

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People who have jobs in larger corporations are an obvious one. The Singaporean question is interesting, because it compares exposure to uncertainty across countries.

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Oh good one! You remind me of the difference between poker and chess that I think Annie Duke likes to talk about. But I think games don't have uncertainty. They have calculable risk. Uncertainty is risk that is not calculable.

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PSC scholars? Most recipients of that scholarship my age that I know of actively spend their lives perfecting their academic ability for the idea of a “secured future”

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U.S. civilians vs. U.S. combat veterans. I know a number of veterans who struggled with the benign regularity of almost everything about civilian life when they returned home from war.

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Oh, this is a good one.

KimSia Sim (I tweet business & software stuff)

@KimStacks

May 5, 2020

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@ejames_c

I would say majority SG are exposed to less uncertainty of lower impact. Because a small minority absorbed much of the higher impact uncertainty of behalf of the rest. I'm abt 60% confident of the above claim As for uncertainty regardless of impact, I'm less confident (~20%)