Cedric Chin on Twitter: "The subtext in this paper is that flattening the curve is not possible given the current state of the healthcare system in the US and the UK. I need a drink." / Twitter

I read this before attempting to go to sleep. My recommendation is that you do not.

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Mar 17, 2020

This 20-page paper is the most sobering thing I've read about the COVID-19 pandemic. It suggests that in order to reduce mass infection & death, measures like self-distancing & school closures might be necessary for months (or more than a year). kottke.org/20/03/we-may-b

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Cedric Chin

@ejames_c

The subtext in this paper is that flattening the curve is not possible given the current state of the healthcare system in the US and the UK. I need a drink.

5:50 PM · Mar 17, 2020Twitter Web App

Replying to

Ok, beautiful counter-point: necsi.edu/review-of-ferg

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Cedric Chin

@ejames_c

Mar 17, 2020

(I'm synthesising all of this in real time so I'm not sure what I believe yet. Time to create another forecast ...)

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Cedric Chin

@ejames_c

Mar 18, 2020

As a follow-up, the lead author of this paper is down with possible COVID-19. theguardian.com/world/2020/mar I'm still synthesising both paper and critique.

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