Sudden realisation that this is the last major Commonplace post for the year. I'm really pleased.
My only nitpick is that I wished Mellers & Satopӓӓ published their working paper in time for me to write about it; but I guess there's always next year! knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/want-b
Quote Tweet
This week's Commonplace blog post is ... urm, long: at 6600 words, a comprehensive summary of the techniques presented in Tetlock and Gardner's Superforecasting. I read the book twice, and then cross-checked against 6-7 papers.
commoncog.com/blog/how-the-s