You buy this? It's the EXACT same line of thinking that is thought and said every single time we are about to experience a major paradigm shift. Go back all the way to 50s and we had smart people say exact same nonsense "no new tech on horizon, you can't beat incumbents".
Check out what was said during mainframe to micro transition, or micro to pc or pc to networked (Internet) or Internet to social or social to smartphones lol. I'm sure I have skipped others. Now we have multiple paradigm shifts happening so it's even crazier (in an awesome way)
So yes, I do buy this. Neumann’s written a great summary of the theory here: http://reactionwheel.net/2015/10/the-deployment-age.html…
It’s too early to say if it’s true, but it’s certainly plausible. I’ll put the strength of my belief at 70ish %. Probably 73%.