Cedric Chin@ejames_c·Dec 3, 2019So I started looking into Phillip Tetlock's Good Judgment Project again a couple of weeks ago, when I realised that it could be used to build expertise ('expertise is having a predictive model that works') The first part of a (possible) series:commoncog.comForecasting Under UncertaintyWhy it's useful to study the results of the Good Judgment Project in service of building expertise.114
Cedric Chin@ejames_c(The paper that started this rabbit hole: https://jpm.pm-research.com/content/45/5/125…)jpm.pm-research.comAccelerating Learning in Active Management: The Alpha-Brier Process1. Joseph A. Cerniglia 1. is an adjunct professor in the Courant School of Mathematics at New York University in New York, NY, and a visiting scholar at the University of Pennsylvania in Philadelph...6:03 PM · Dec 3, 2019·Twitter Web App2 Likes
