Cedric Chin on Twitter: "So I started looking into Phillip Tetlock's Good Judgment Project again a couple of weeks ago, when I realised that it could be used to build expertise ('expertise is having a predictive model that works') The first part of a (possible) series: https://t.co/k64eorNf1Q" / Twitter

So I started looking into Phillip Tetlock's Good Judgment Project again a couple of weeks ago, when I realised that it could be used to build expertise ('expertise is having a predictive model that works') The first part of a (possible) series:

commoncog.com

Forecasting Under Uncertainty

Why it's useful to study the results of the Good Judgment Project in service of building expertise.

5:58 PM · Dec 3, 2019Twitter Web App

Replying to

(The paper that started this rabbit hole: jpm.pm-research.com/content/45/5/1)

jpm.pm-research.com

Accelerating Learning in Active Management: The Alpha-Brier Process

1. Joseph A. Cerniglia 1. is an adjunct professor in the Courant School of Mathematics at New York University in New York, NY, and a visiting scholar at the University of Pennsylvania in Philadelph...

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