eeeeeeeeesh these figureshttps://twitter.com/toad_spotted/status/991076778193059840 …
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on one hand that seems like a plausible problem, on the other hand the effect size is enormous and seems likely to swamp n-related noise
http://andrewgelman.com/2017/02/06/not-kill-statistical-significance-makes-stronger-fallacy/ … you need much more Gelman in your life
you're preaching to the choir but you're applying the gospel to the wrong case this is just a simple issue of estimating a simple population moment they certainly have enough power to identify three-fold changes in level across years
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