ummm hot take prediction registration time maybe p = 0.33 this leads directly to resignation or impeachment within two monthshttps://twitter.com/nytmike/status/864591993967607808 …
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Oh shit time to admit I was wrong Kind of
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yeah i guess it was only .33
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i'd still take "trump is prez on 01/01/18" at 4:1
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at this point me too :/ tbh I'd take those odds to 2019, probably longer seems unlikely Dems sweep Senate in 2018 given seats up for grabs
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yeah that seems about right. senate seems miles away, and doubtful it happens any other way unless future revelations are way bigger
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this was hilarious when I was 16
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