ummm hot take prediction registration time maybe p = 0.33 this leads directly to resignation or impeachment within two monthshttps://twitter.com/nytmike/status/864591993967607808 …
no it's legit!
ideally I go through all of my predictions and plot accuracy
p=0.33 just means I'm not certain about it
also . . . yeah 
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To really impress me, you need to make a whole suite of p=.33 predictions and nail ~30% of them. ^_^
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