guess what time it is
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DODGEBALL TIME BITCH
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Oh shit time to admit I was wrong Kind of
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yeah i guess it was only .33
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i'd still take "trump is prez on 01/01/18" at 4:1
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at this point me too :/ tbh I'd take those odds to 2019, probably longer seems unlikely Dems sweep Senate in 2018 given seats up for grabs
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yeah that seems about right. senate seems miles away, and doubtful it happens any other way unless future revelations are way bigger
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I'm skeptical both on impeachment under current congress, and given impeachment that it would happen so soon. I say p = 5%
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not unreasonable, hot takes have high variance other direction: seems congressional Rs are sick of ass-clown antics; plus precedent idk
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is there a prop side bet on article 25 tho
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25:1 maybe seems super unlikely at this point, seems like detente or cowing of cabinet complete
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p = .33 is a pretty weak prediction, friend... easy to back off that one ;)
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no it's legit! ideally I go through all of my predictions and plot accuracy p=0.33 just means I'm not certain about it also . . . yeah

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To really impress me, you need to make a whole suite of p=.33 predictions and nail ~30% of them. ^_^
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I'll take those odds.
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but which side :D
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Remaining in office > 2 months, lol
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