1. The paper uses a solid strategy for identifying the **causal** effect of tippelzones; no simple correlation. This is great.
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Replying to @eigenrobot @Hella_Dee
So it's not just that tippelzones tend to be in cities with lower sex crime rates, but actually seem to cause those rates to drop
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Replying to @eigenrobot @Hella_Dee
2. Even better, the authors are thoughtful about the sorts of 'spillovers' that might screw up the validity of their analysis.
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Replying to @eigenrobot @Hella_Dee
3. The fact that their analysis shows tippelzones seem to cause decreases in sexual assaults, but not drug crimes, leads me . . .
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Replying to @eigenrobot @Hella_Dee
to trust their results even more; as do the size of the results. And their model fits unusually well for social science.
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Replying to @eigenrobot @Hella_Dee
4. This is a much better paper than the statistical nothingburger from a few years ago claiming decriminalization -> trafficking
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Replying to @eigenrobot @Hella_Dee
5. The only thing that gives me pause is the effect fading out after 2 years. I could maybe tell a story about that where . . .
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Replying to @eigenrobot @Hella_Dee
over time, there's some kind of increase in vice/crime in areas migrating from non-tippelzone cities? Maybe that was addressed.
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Replying to @eigenrobot @Hella_Dee
6. And of course if you're a market participant you know more about tippelzones in practice than the authors & should probably
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7. I don't know whether making a decrim --> less rape argument is helpful, BUT if you want to, this is very strong support /end
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