This... does not inspire confidencehttps://twitter.com/TheEconomist/status/1461651190144503808 …
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in the latter case, was the prediction good or bad? at this point i think we are getting into talmudic territory and i defer to those who are better equipped for such considerations :) anyway its all very tricky and i mostly wish people would speak with less confidence.
If only someone who had studied a ton of Talmud was around... Thanks though!
RIP ceteris paribus
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