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eigenrobot

@eigenrobot

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eigenrobot.substack.com
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    1. Milo Minderbinder‏ @MinderbinderLLC Oct 26
      Replying to @eigenrobot

      What is the working model for this? 2 axes and 2 points chasing each other is what I've seen. Just an X or Y shift to manipulate? only two variables? What am I trying to google?

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    2. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Oct 26
      Replying to @MinderbinderLLC

      uh well i think you can get a lot of it from the first few chapters of Private Truths, Public Lies separating equilibria is trickier. not sure where to learn that outside of a contract theory textbook

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    3. Milo Minderbinder‏ @MinderbinderLLC Oct 26
      Replying to @eigenrobot

      is it like t testing to find appropriate axes or something? I think everything is the same thing.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Oct 26
      Replying to @MinderbinderLLC

      its well not at all tbh :) are you familiar with the idea of a fixed point? basically imagine some set of individuals I each with expressed opinions Xi that depend on ones beliefs about others' opinions, ie Xi = f(Xhat,-i)

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    5. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Oct 26
      Replying to @eigenrobot @MinderbinderLLC

      in something closer to English the opinion you express about a topic is going to depend partly on what you think other people believe about that topic, and you develop beliefs about what other people think by what opinions THEY express, which in turn each depend on their beliefs

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Oct 26
      Replying to @eigenrobot @MinderbinderLLC

      generally the extent to which peoples expressed opinions deviate from their true opinions depends on how much social sanction or punishment they expect they might receive from expressing their actual opinion

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Oct 26
      Replying to @eigenrobot @MinderbinderLLC

      in "open" societies where people can basically say what they want without retribution peoples expressed opinions are relatively reliable and stable over time

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    8. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Oct 26
      Replying to @eigenrobot @MinderbinderLLC

      in societies where the wrong opinion gets you killed people tend to parrot the party line, and have no way of determining how many other people agree with them, because of course no one is gonna speak up but this can lead to explosive results

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Oct 26
      Replying to @eigenrobot @MinderbinderLLC

      consider a giant public march. in the US mostly no one gives a shit because everyone knows that say a hundred thousand people can be found to believe just about anything. march basically has no effect on expressed opinion

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    10. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Oct 26
      Replying to @eigenrobot @MinderbinderLLC

      in eg Red China such a march might be *incredibly dangerous* to the regime because it would be public undeniable evidence that a lot of people hate the regime, which then leads to other people seeing support so THEY speak up, etc such is called a preference cascade

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Oct 26
      Replying to @eigenrobot @MinderbinderLLC

      anyway the main point with all of this is that maybe social media disrupts an earlier equilibrium state of expressed beliefs, suddenly lots of people express different things and so other people change what they express, etc some kind of cascade is possible maybe who knows

      10:31 PM - 26 Oct 2021
      • 1 Like
      • Milo Minderbinder
      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        1. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Oct 26
          Replying to @eigenrobot @MinderbinderLLC

          im gonna get back to work but i hope this was at least a little helpful :)

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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