spooky take
occurred maybe the case for pessimism rn is not any particular policy by the administration or woke people taking over everything or gadsden flag mobs or whatever
rather its that the us government seems incapable of responding to new crises and they accumulate
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so things keep piling up and getting worse and the government focuses on doing what it can do which seems to be setting money on fire and making insider trades and issuing increasingly meaningless diktats that sort of convey the idea theyre doing somethinghttps://foreignpolicy.com/2021/10/22/jennifer-klein-national-gender-strategy-policy-council-equity-equality/ …
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so maybe we make it through the supply chain crisis without things really going tits up, maybe federalism starts kicking in and states handle things more gracefully and flexibly, lots of ways out idk. its possible im over pessimistic today, but this clicked for me and seems bad
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assuming the model is approximately correct, maybe the question is "at what level of social or political organization below the current one do we find a stable floor" i have no idea but might be worth considering. ilu stay strapped
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related from
@robinhanson ht@arctanno this seems like a very difficult and unsolved problem see also the guy whose name i forget talking about sociopolitical sclerosis generally https://www.overcomingbias.com/2021/10/what-makes-stuff-rot.html …Show this thread
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An argument could be made the government has actually gotten extremely good at dealing with financial crisis, witness the truly heroic and successful response last spring, and while Afghanistan was a clusterfuck the US did in fact win in Iraq and the broader GWOT.
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gwot was a long time ago
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Don't forget the Russian mind control lasers
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