spooky take
occurred maybe the case for pessimism rn is not any particular policy by the administration or woke people taking over everything or gadsden flag mobs or whatever
rather its that the us government seems incapable of responding to new crises and they accumulate
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so yes things just start piling up Afghanistan is a clusterfuck, the only response to the supply chain is "welp", covid response is a sad joke, we never even really got over 2008 in a lot of ways more and more and morehttps://twitter.com/TheTriarii/status/1452680300186718213?t=CuNZu9NtnGsedQYbq7j4Zg&s=19 …
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so things keep piling up and getting worse and the government focuses on doing what it can do which seems to be setting money on fire and making insider trades and issuing increasingly meaningless diktats that sort of convey the idea theyre doing somethinghttps://foreignpolicy.com/2021/10/22/jennifer-klein-national-gender-strategy-policy-council-equity-equality/ …
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so maybe we make it through the supply chain crisis without things really going tits up, maybe federalism starts kicking in and states handle things more gracefully and flexibly, lots of ways out idk. its possible im over pessimistic today, but this clicked for me and seems bad
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assuming the model is approximately correct, maybe the question is "at what level of social or political organization below the current one do we find a stable floor" i have no idea but might be worth considering. ilu stay strapped
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related from
@robinhanson ht@arctanno this seems like a very difficult and unsolved problem see also the guy whose name i forget talking about sociopolitical sclerosis generally https://www.overcomingbias.com/2021/10/what-makes-stuff-rot.html …Show this thread
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I would argue they don't seem to want to fix them.
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To quote a certain cult...videogame opening from 2000: "Why contain it? Let it spill over into the schools and churches. Let the bodies pile up in the streets. In the end, they'll beg us to save them."
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its easier for a rotting structure to prevent new growth than take action on its own. One of the last abilities to atrophy. Parasites succeed long before new structures can get started Successful new structures are usually ones that benefit from the parasites in some way
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clearly some new growths are dependent on the parasites and won’t outlive the death of the old structure/parasites. Insert general reactionary criticism. so what would a system look like that benefits from, but does not depend on the parasites
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E.g. we have given up on something so basic and fundamental as phone service to the point where a lost person wouldn't answer calls from Search and Rescue because it was an unidentified number and everyone KNOWS that means it's not even a human being. Seriously we just gave up.
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