some of them have been kind of silly like noticing that i had a broken furnace and a bunch of spare compute one winter but even that was a net win
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key ones seem like (i) signing up for a research program in an unrelated major the summer after freshman year because they were doing game theory, which introduced me to math modeling and eventually led to an econ major and fed work and grad school
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(ii) finding out about ML and going all in on coding and statistical learning just before data science took off as a career option
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huh. in retrospect my first marriage also importantly falls into this class of decisions. that was obviously not a success for either of us but it was probably a reasonable bet ex ante and at least we failed fast if confusingly.
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eigenrobot Retweeted michael curzi
this is very interesting. i /think/ my approach often works better since its heuristic, adaptable, but of course this comes at the cost of long term plan execution outside broad contours "plans are useless, planning is essential" feels related maybehttps://twitter.com/michaelcurzi/status/1450689750231257090 …
eigenrobot added,
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maybe stated a different way, the failure mode of an opportunistic approach is finding oneself in a dead end, the failure mode of a planned approach is missing opportunities or pitfalls out of rigidity, perhaps of course theres a synthesis or rather its a spectrum
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Replying to @AStratelates
just skimmed the wikipedia found myself wincing at trying to work into a framework developed by someone else and i think that probably says more about me than the framework :) i struggle with ooda loops too. hmm what brings it to mind for you?
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Replying to @eigenrobot
Complicated domain (heavy planning) versus complex domain (opportunities arise)
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ahhhh yeah ok that makes sense when you use those words ty :) possibly i just hate this figurepic.twitter.com/hh0PySqkSk
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