ok so gaming this out a bit there are probably several dozen thousand people we want to get out of Afghanistan of them maybe a dozen thousand Americans according to various government things we basically own the airport but Taliban control everything else i think were fucked,
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because the Taliban seem to be aggressively blocking people from getting to the airport and our options are: 1. just accept it 2. plead with the Taliban but were already doing that and its not working 3. fly in lots more troops and try to break out of the airport
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so i am imagining we could do (3) but the problem is then we're actively at war with the Taliban and even if they lose every engagement they can just start killing lots of people we want to evacuate anyway, people who are in territory they control
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Replying to @eigenrobot
not really “actively at war with Taliban” given active cease-fire/peace/pull-out agreements. …
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Replying to @gojomo @eigenrobot
not impossible that quid pro quo is (or could be) in place: “this list of people must be left alone as they exit country; if they aren’t, we’ll use your leadership’s extra exposure now, while trying to govern, to make extremely effective reprisal attacks.”
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Replying to @gojomo @eigenrobot
Gordon Mohr ꧁ 👁 👁꧂ Retweeted Lara Seligman
the 'list' exists, but in practice, is it a 'save' list or a 'kill' list?https://twitter.com/laraseligman/status/1430975844147732480 …
Gordon Mohr ꧁ 👁 👁꧂ added,
Lara SeligmanVerified account @laraseligmanSCOOP: U.S. officials gave the Taliban a list of names of U.S. citizens, green card holders & Afghan allies to grant entry into the outer perimeter of the city’s airport, prompting outrage behind the scenes from lawmakers and military officials. https://www.politico.com/news/2021/08/26/us-officials-provided-taliban-with-names-of-americans-afghan-allies-to-evacuate-506957 …Show this thread1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
well I think the issue is that it could be start as one and pivot to the other
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